What American politics will look like after 2020 is anyone’s guess. But we’re taking our best shot.
The latest from POLITICO’s 2020 Election Forecast: Ratings from Senior Elections Editor Steven Shepard for every national contest, from the 538 Electoral College votes to the 435 House districts — and everything in between.
We’ll be updating our ratings all the way through Election Day. Some key points from our most up-to-date predictions:
- In the race for the White House, President Donald Trump can lose up to 36 electoral votes and still win. But his low approval ratings, including for his handling of the coronavirus pandemic, make this race a toss-up.
- In the Senate, Republicans are still favored to retain the majority, though Democrats’ potential path has become better defined over the past few months.
- In the House, strong fundraising and GOP recruiting holes make Democrats likely to hold their majority.
