A Scenario for 2020: Electoral College vs. Popular Vote

In States, Voting On

Not overly concerned about America’s political stability? Here’s a scenario, conceivable both politically and legally — under existing federal and state statutes and precedents — that might change your mind:

President Trump loses the popular vote in 2020 but wins everywhere he won in 2016, minus Pennsylvania, Michigan and Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District.

A 269-to-269 electoral college tie looms! The new House of Representatives can break it in January 2021, with 50 state delegations entitled to one vote each and 26 needed to win. Alas, voters picked 25 GOP-majority delegations, 22 Democratic and three split.

Then each party frantically lobbies the 538 presidential electors, hoping one will switch sides before electoral votes are cast on Dec. 14, thus assuring a 270-vote victory without a struggle in the House.

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